Oklahoma Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James Lankford a 55% chance of winning the Oklahoma Senate 2014 primary. Jim Inhofe won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. James Lankford — 55% model odds
  2. T. W. Shannon — 7% model odds
  3. D. Jean Mcbride-Samuels — 7% model odds
  4. Eric C. Mccray — 7% model odds
  5. Jim Inhofe — 4% model odds (won)
  6. Erick Paul Wyatt — 4% model odds
  7. Rob Moye — 4% model odds
  8. Andy Craig — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts