Oklahoma Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Matt Silverstein a 79% chance of winning the Oklahoma Senate 2014 primary. Connie Johnson won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Matt Silverstein — 79% model odds
  2. Connie Johnson — 7% model odds (won)
  3. Jim Rogers — 7% model odds
  4. Patrick Michael Hayes — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts