Oklahoma House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrice Douglas a 62% chance of winning the Oklahoma House 2014 primary. Steve Russell won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Patrice Douglas — 62% model odds
2. Steve Russell — 25% model odds (won)
3. Mike Turner — 5% model odds
4. Clark Jolley — 3% model odds
5. Shane David Jett — 3% model odds
6. Harvey Sparks — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts