New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Richard L. Hanna a 95% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Richard L. Hanna won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Richard L. Hanna — 95% model odds (won)
2. Claudia Tenney — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts