New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sean Patrick Maloney a 37% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Nan Hayworth won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Sean Patrick Maloney — 37% model odds
2. Sean Patrick Maloney — 37% model odds
3. Nan Hayworth — 26% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts