New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jose E. Serrano an 88% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Jose E. Serrano won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jose E. Serrano — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Sam Sloan — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts