New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Charles B. Rangel an 84% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Charles B. Rangel won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Charles B. Rangel — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Adriano Espaillat — 8% model odds
  3. Yolanda Garcia — 5% model odds
  4. Michael A., Jr. Walrond — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts