New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kathleen M. Rice a 78% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Kathleen M. Rice won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Kathleen M. Rice — 78% model odds (won)
2. Bruce A. Blakeman — 19% model odds
3. Kevan M. Abrahams — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts