New York House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave George Demos a 35% chance of winning the New York House 2014 primary. Lee M. Zeldin won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. George Demos — 35% model odds
2. Lee M. Zeldin — 22% model odds
3. Lee M. Zeldin — 22% model odds
4. Lee M. Zeldin — 22% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts