Nevada House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cresent Hardy a 77% chance of winning the Nevada House 2014 primary. Cresent Hardy won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Cresent Hardy — 77% model odds (won)
2. Niger Innis — 10% model odds
3. Mike Monroe — 6% model odds
4. Carlo "Mazunga" Poliak — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts