New Jersey Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeff Bell an 85% chance of winning the New Jersey Senate 2014 primary. Jeff Bell won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jeff Bell — 85% model odds (won)
2. Martin Eugene Lavergne — 6% model odds
3. Murray Sabrin — 3% model odds
4. Richard J. Pezzullo — 3% model odds
5. Brian D. Goldberg — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts