New Jersey House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bonnie Watson Coleman an 89% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2014 primary. Bonnie Watson Coleman won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Bonnie Watson Coleman — 89% model odds (won)
2. Upendra Chivukula — 4% model odds
3. Linda R. Greenstein — 4% model odds
4. Andrew Zwicker — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts