New Jersey House 2014 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald M., Jr. Payne an 81% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2014 primary. Donald M., Jr. Payne won, matching the model's top pick.
- Donald M., Jr. Payne — 81% model odds (won)
- Aaron Fraser — 11% model odds
- Curtis Alphonzo, Iii Vaughn — 5% model odds
- Robert Louis Toussaint — 3% model odds