New Jersey House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Frank A. Lobiondo an 89% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2014 primary. Frank A. Lobiondo won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Frank A. Lobiondo — 89% model odds (won)
2. Alexander H. Spano — 8% model odds
3. Mike Assad — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts