New Jersey House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave William J., Jr. Hughes a 96% chance of winning the New Jersey House 2014 primary. William J., Jr. Hughes won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. William J., Jr. Hughes — 96% model odds (won)
  2. David H. Cole — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts