New Hampshire Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott P. Brown a 47% chance of winning the New Hampshire Senate 2014 primary. Scott P. Brown won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Scott P. Brown — 47% model odds (won)
  2. Jeanne Shaheen — 30% model odds
  3. Robert D'Arcy — 3% model odds
  4. Walter W. Kelly — 2% model odds
  5. Bob Heghmann — 2% model odds
  6. Mark W. Farnham — 2% model odds
  7. Miro Dziedzic — 2% model odds
  8. Gerard Beloin — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts