New Hampshire Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jeanne Shaheen a 58% chance of winning the New Hampshire Senate 2014 primary. Jeanne Shaheen won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jeanne Shaheen — 58% model odds (won)
  2. Scott P. Brown — 19% model odds
  3. Scattered — 3% model odds
  4. Bob Smith — 3% model odds
  5. Mark W. Farnham — 3% model odds
  6. Bob Heghmann — 3% model odds
  7. Walter W. Kelly — 3% model odds
  8. Andy Martin — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts