New Hampshire House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ann Mclane Kuster a 76% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2014 primary. Marilinda Garcia won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Ann Mclane Kuster — 76% model odds
2. Marilinda Garcia — 10% model odds (won)
3. Mike Little — 4% model odds
4. Scattered — 4% model odds
5. Gary Lambert — 3% model odds
6. Jim Lawrence — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts