New Hampshire House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carol Shea-Porter a 54% chance of winning the New Hampshire House 2014 primary. Carol Shea-Porter won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Carol Shea-Porter — 54% model odds (won)
2. Frank C. Guinta — 35% model odds
3. Scattered — 3% model odds
4. Dan Innis — 3% model odds
5. Brendan Kelly — 3% model odds
6. Everett Jabour — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts