Nebraska Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ben Sasse a 27% chance of winning the Nebraska Senate 2014 primary. Ben Sasse won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Ben Sasse — 27% model odds
  2. Shane Osborn — 23% model odds
  3. Shane Osborn — 12% model odds
  4. Ben Sasse — 11% model odds (won)
  5. Sid Dinsdale — 7% model odds
  6. Sid Dinsdale — 5% model odds
  7. Bart Mcleay — 4% model odds
  8. Bart Mcleay — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts