Nebraska House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adrian Smith a 54% chance of winning the Nebraska House 2014 primary. Adrian Smith won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Adrian Smith — 54% model odds
  2. Adrian Smith — 42% model odds (won)
  3. Tom Brewer — 2% model odds
  4. Tom Brewer — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts