North Carolina Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thom Tillis an 80% chance of winning the North Carolina Senate 2014 primary. Thom Tillis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Thom Tillis — 80% model odds (won)
  2. Edward Kryn — 3% model odds
  3. Greg Brannon — 3% model odds
  4. Jim Snyder — 3% model odds
  5. Alex Lee Bradshaw — 3% model odds
  6. Mark Harris — 3% model odds
  7. Heather Grant — 3% model odds
  8. Ted Alexander — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts