North Carolina House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brenda Cleary a 93% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2014 primary. Brenda Cleary won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brenda Cleary — 93% model odds (won)
  2. Arunava Sanyal — 4% model odds
  3. Virginia Conlon — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts