North Carolina House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick Mchenry an 83% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2014 primary. Patrick Mchenry won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Patrick Mchenry — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Richard Lynch — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts