North Carolina House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Walter Jones an 83% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2014 primary. Walter Jones won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Walter Jones — 83% model odds (won)
2. Al Novinec — 9% model odds
3. Taylor Griffin — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts