North Carolina House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Malcolm Graham a 10% chance of winning the North Carolina House 2014 primary. Alma Adams won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Malcolm Graham — 10% model odds
  2. James Mitchell — 10% model odds
  3. Curtis C. Osborne — 10% model odds
  4. Alma Adams — 7% model odds (won)
  5. George Battle — 7% model odds
  6. Marcus Brandon — 7% model odds
  7. Curtis C. Osborne — 7% model odds
  8. Rajive Patel — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts