Montana Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Steve Daines a 90% chance of winning the Montana Senate 2014 primary. Steve Daines won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Steve Daines — 90% model odds (won)
2. Susan Cundiff — 6% model odds
3. Champ Edmunds — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts