Montana Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John # Walsh a 79% chance of winning the Montana Senate 2014 primary. John # Walsh won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John # Walsh — 79% model odds (won)
2. Amanda # Curtis — 9% model odds
3. Scattered — 7% model odds
4. John Bohlinger — 3% model odds
5. Dirk S. Adams — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts