Montana House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ryan Zinke an 84% chance of winning the Montana House 2014 primary. Ryan Zinke won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ryan Zinke — 84% model odds (won)
2. Matt Rosendale — 6% model odds
3. Corey Stapleton — 3% model odds
4. Elsie Arntzen — 3% model odds
5. Drew Turiano — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts