Mississippi Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thad Cochran a 70% chance of winning the Mississippi Senate 2014 primary. Chris Mcdaniel won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Thad Cochran — 70% model odds
2. Thomas L. Carey — 19% model odds
3. Chris Mcdaniel — 6% model odds (won)
4. Shawn O'Hara — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts