Missouri House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sam Graves a 25% chance of winning the Missouri House 2014 primary. Sam Graves won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sam Graves — 25% model odds (won)
  2. Christopher Ryan — 25% model odds
  3. Kyle Reid — 25% model odds
  4. Brian L. Tharp — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts