Missouri House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Emanuel, Ii Cleaver an 83% chance of winning the Missouri House 2014 primary. Emanuel, Ii Cleaver won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Emanuel, Ii Cleaver — 83% model odds (won)
2. Mark S. Memoly — 5% model odds
3. Charles Lindsey — 5% model odds
4. Bob Gough — 5% model odds
5. Eric Holmes — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts