Missouri House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Koehr a 64% chance of winning the Missouri House 2014 primary. Daniel J. Elder won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. David Koehr — 64% model odds
2. Daniel J. Elder — 18% model odds (won)
3. Martin D. Baker — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts