Minnesota Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Al Franken a 75% chance of winning the Minnesota Senate 2014 primary. Al Franken won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Al Franken — 75% model odds (won)
  2. Jack Shepard — 7% model odds
  3. Sandra Henningsgard — 4% model odds
  4. Steve Carlson — 4% model odds
  5. Stephen Williams — 4% model odds
  6. Tom Books — 4% model odds
  7. Kevin Terrell — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts