Minnesota House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Obermueller a 94% chance of winning the Minnesota House 2014 primary. Mike Obermueller won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mike Obermueller — 94% model odds (won)
2. Michael J. Roberts — 3% model odds
3. Paula Overby — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts