Michigan House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brenda Lawrence a 59% chance of winning the Michigan House 2014 primary. Brenda Lawrence won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brenda Lawrence — 59% model odds (won)
  2. Rudy Hobbs — 34% model odds
  3. Burgess D. Foster — 5% model odds
  4. Hansen Clarke — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts