Michigan House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kerry Lynn Bentivolio an 81% chance of winning the Michigan House 2014 primary. Dave Trott won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Kerry Lynn Bentivolio — 81% model odds
  2. Dave Trott — 19% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts