Michigan House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Bussler an 80% chance of winning the Michigan House 2014 primary. Fred Upton won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Jim Bussler — 80% model odds
2. Fred Upton — 10% model odds (won)
3. John M. Lawrence — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts