Michigan House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Paul Mitchell a 59% chance of winning the Michigan House 2014 primary. John Moolenaar won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Paul Mitchell — 59% model odds
2. John Moolenaar — 39% model odds (won)
3. Peter Konetchy — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts