Michigan House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dan Benishek an 87% chance of winning the Michigan House 2014 primary. Dan Benishek won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Dan Benishek — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Ellis Boal — 10% model odds
  3. Alan Arcand — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts