Maryland House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carrogan R. Vaughn a 50% chance of winning the Maryland House 2014 primary. Carrogan R. Vaughn won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Carrogan R. Vaughn — 50% model odds (won)
2. Ray Bly — 50% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts