Maryland House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chris Chaffee a 33% chance of winning the Maryland House 2014 primary. Chris Chaffee won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chris Chaffee — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Mark Kenneth Arness — 33% model odds
  3. Tom Potter — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts