Maryland House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Sarbanes a 97% chance of winning the Maryland House 2014 primary. John Sarbanes won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Sarbanes — 97% model odds (won)
  2. Matthew Molyett — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts