Massachusetts House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John C. Chapman an 85% chance of winning the Massachusetts House 2014 primary. John C. Chapman won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John C. Chapman — 85% model odds (won)
2. All Others — 5% model odds
3. Daniel L. Shores — 4% model odds
4. Mark C. Alliegro — 3% model odds
5. Vincent A., Jr. Cogliano — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts