Massachusetts House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Seth W. Moulton a 56% chance of winning the Massachusetts House 2014 primary. Seth W. Moulton won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Seth W. Moulton — 56% model odds (won)
2. John F. Tierney — 34% model odds
3. John J. Gutta — 3% model odds
4. All Others — 3% model odds
5. John Patrick Devine — 2% model odds
6. Marisa A. Defranco — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts