Kentucky Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mitch Mcconnell an 88% chance of winning the Kentucky Senate 2014 primary. Mitch Mcconnell won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mitch Mcconnell — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Chris Payne — 5% model odds
  3. Brad Copas — 3% model odds
  4. Matt Bevin — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts