Kentucky House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John A. Yarmuth an 87% chance of winning the Kentucky House 2014 primary. John A. Yarmuth won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John A. Yarmuth — 87% model odds (won)
2. E. Ray Pierce — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts