Illinois Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James D. "Jim" Oberweis an 88% chance of winning the Illinois Senate 2014 primary. James D. "Jim" Oberweis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. James D. "Jim" Oberweis — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Sherry Procarrone — 7% model odds
  3. Douglas Lee Truax — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts