Illinois House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Darlene Senger a 75% chance of winning the Illinois House 2014 primary. Darlene Senger won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Darlene Senger — 75% model odds (won)
  2. Bert Miller — 16% model odds
  3. Chris Balkema — 5% model odds
  4. Ian Bayne — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts