Illinois House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Earl, Iii Williams an 81% chance of winning the Illinois House 2014 primary. Susanne Atanus won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. David Earl, Iii Williams — 81% model odds
  2. Susanne Atanus — 19% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts